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Tumble Weed (Bush) Watch 

archived: 30 Sep - 6 Oct, 2007         Back                 Next

UPDATED:  OCT 3, 2007

                        BUSH’S ECONOMY 

The economic news continues to disappoint.  American auto sales are down: 

Ford's U.S. sales plummeted 21 percent in September as the automaker saw a steep drop-off in car sales, while Toyota reported a 4 percent decline, according to results released Tuesday. . . .  

Ford's overall sales fell 13 percent for the first nine months of the year. Ford hasn't seen a month when sales rose since October 2006, according to Ward's AutoInfoBank.

More homes remain unsold than ever in modern history: 

An index that forecasts near-term home sales fell in August to a record low as would-be homebuyers had difficulty getting mortgages. Economists said the housing market's woes show no sign of improving soon.  

The National Association of Realtors said Tuesday its seasonally adjusted index of pending sales for existing homes fell 6.5 percent from July and 21.5 percent from a year ago.

Former Federal Reserve Chairman Greenspan is sounding the warning bells: 

The fate of the world economy hinges on what happens to house prices in America and that may not be a good thing, former Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan said on Monday.  

Speaking at the Reuters headquarters in London, the former Fed chair delivered a gloomy prognosis on the state of the global economy -- U.S. house prices are likely to fall further and they could drag the rest of the world with them.

Americans can thank Bush and the Republican Party.

                        THE SALT LAKE TRIBUNE?  

On occasion, one can find the most poignant political statements in the most unusual of places.  The Salt Lake Tribune has published this editorial.              

The Tribune “gets it,” and gives it to Bush in turn:

Thanks to the golden Greenspan, the assertion that Republicans represent the party of fiscal constraint is now laid bare for the fallacy it is: as empty as a Rudy Giuliani marriage vow.    

What is more to the nub of things is that Republicans don't spend less than Democrats. Rather, they spend money on different things, pre-emptive war for example, as opposed to giving students a better interest rate on college loans - one of the Democrats' first legislative initiatives since taking over Congress.    

Bush has already spent $450 billion to fund the war in Iraq and he is now asking Congress to raise that total to nearly $600 billion to sustain operations through 2008. Bush has squandered the nation's wealth to secure more oil, as Greenspan bluntly asserts. Contrast that to what might have happened during an Al Gore administration. More likely than not, it would not have attacked Saddam Hussein but would have invested in finding a way off the oil that sustained the tyrant.    

Take your pick. National security, of course, is another arena where Republicans claim supremacy over Democrats. But Bush's disastrous war suggests that any alleged prowess is overblown. Bush ignored CIA intelligence estimates circulated in January 2003, that said that a post-Saddam Iraq would fracture and devolve into ''violent conflict,'' and that regime change in Iraq could boost sympathy for Muslim terrorism. Instead Bush went to war with too few troops to prevent those dire predictions.    

A real commander in chief wouldn't have put his military in that impossible predicament, and wouldn't continue to impose the sacrifices of war exclusively on an exhausted volunteer fighting force.    

If going to war is necessary, then a real leader institutes a draft and raises the revenue needed to do the job. But Bush, who thinks that government doesn't work and proves it at every turn, thought he could do a war in Iraq on the cheap. Now, nearly 4,000 American lives and innumerable newly hatched terrorists later, Bush intends to hand off his mess to the next decider.    

I would call this immoral. But morality and values is another Republican-claimed piece of rhetorical turf.    

Personally, I believe that morality has more to do with honesty, integrity and compassion than whether Heather has two mommies, but that is not the way it has been defined in today's political vernacular.    

In those terms, sexual purity and marital fidelity are the pre-eminent values. So when Idaho Republican Sen. Larry Craig got caught ostensibly signaling for gay sex at a Minnesota airport, his colleagues called for his resignation faster than one can say Brokeback Bathroom. What I don't understand is why Sen. David Vitter, the married Louisiana Republican who was on a Washington madam's call list and admits past ''sins,'' didn't suffer the same consequences. Could it be that Louisiana's governor is a Democrat and would appoint a Democrat to replace Vitter, while Idaho's governor is Republican? Is politics trumping morality? 

Of the three policy areas that often motivate voters to cast their ballots for Republicans - fiscal discipline, national security and moral rectitude - the party's elected leaders have bollixed them all. Bush may be the most glaring of the GOP's liabilities (as The Donald declares), but Republicans in general have a Greenspan problem, and that's going to be a hard one to shake.            

This is the case against Bush and the Republicans.  It is well worth circulating to everyone within  your community of friends.

_____________________________________________

UPDATED:  SEP 30, 2007

                        BUSH’S OIL TAX 

The economy that Bush touts continues to spring serious leaks.   

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates in order to help stem the growing home mortgage crisis.  The rate cut makes interest rates cheaper in the US, which is not attractive to investors who can earn greater interest yields in other counties where interest rates are higher.  The result is a US Dollar that is losing value against other major currencies.  

For example, the US Dollar continues to fall against the EURO and the Canadian Dollar has now reached parity: 

The dollar fell to a record low against the euro for the seventh consecutive session while the Canadian dollar hit a 31-year high as inflation data raised expectations that the Federal Reserve Bank would again lower interest rates. . . .  

The dollar has been sliding since the Fed cut interest rates last week by a larger-than-expected half percentage point. Since then, a week of mostly disappointing U.S. economic data have stoked expectations that another rate cut could follow.  

"With the market expecting lower rates, this continues to undermine the U.S. dollar, especially with the European Central Bank perhaps set to raise interest rates," said Woolfolk. . . .  

The lower U.S. interest rates, used to jump-start the economy, can weaken its currency as investors transfer funds to countries where their deposits and fixed-income investments bring higher returns. 

Longer term, the U.S. has been running large trade and budget deficits for years -- factors that tend to undermine a country's currency in the long term, unless they are offset by foreigners willingness to invest their money in the United States. 

Consequences of the dollar's fall include upward pressure on inflation from higher prices for imported food and goods, and less purchasing power for Americans traveling or living abroad.

The major US import is oil and the price of oil is reaching new highs on the weaker dollar.  

Dr A. F. Alhajji, an energy economist and an Associate Professor at the College of Business Administration, Ohio Northern University, concluded a study in 2004 demonstrating that the devaluation of the US Dollar results in Americans paying higher prices for oil: 

International oil companies sell their crude in US dollars while they operate around the world using local currencies to pay for wages, benefits, taxes, and various costs. Consumers in countries with non-dollar appreciating currencies enjoy cheap oil, while people in dollar-pegged countries pay a higher price for the same barrel of oil.

Dr. Alhaiji produces one chart that demonstrates the point graphically.  The chart immediately below shows the price of oil in the United States (paying for that oil with deflated Dollars) and in Europe (paying for oil in EUROS that are stronger by comparison to the US Dollar): 

The US Dollar has fallen even further since Dr. Alhaiji’s 2004 study and the chart immediately above would show an even greater disparity today in the price that Americans are paying.

And it is not just gasoline.  Winter in the United States is coming.  Americans will pay record prices to heat their homes:

U.S. consumers are expected to pay record prices for heating oil, electricity and propane to warm their homes this winter, and low-income families will need government help to cover those bills, government energy officials said on Tuesday.

Heating fuel expenses this winter will be highest for heating oil, with the average family paying $1,834 for the season, up 28 percent or $402 from last year, according to the National Energy Assistance Directors' Association.

As energy prices rise because of the falling US Dollar, it operates as a tax according to Bush’s own Treasury Secretary.  Secretary John Snow, states it well:  

``Energy is one of those things that is holding back global growth,'' Treasury Secretary John Snow [has] said . . . . ``It acts as a tax on everyone because you have less disposable income available.'' – Bloomberg

It is a “consumption tax.”  Jeffrey E. Garten makes the point clearly.  “It is more likely instead to act as a consumption tax.” – New York Times [emphasis added] (no longer available free online)  Of course, Bush supports fundamental tax reform that would move the federal tax system away from taxing income toward taxing consumption.   

The bottom line – Bush’s falling Dollar leads to higher prices for all of the goods that the US imports – higher oil and gasoline prices in particular.  You will pay the price.  But, that is Republican economic philosophy.   

                        BUSH’S MOUNTAIN OF DEBT 

Bush is closing in on doubling the national debt since he took office: 

January 20, 2001, the National Debt:       $5,727,776,738,304.64.
            Today: the National Debt:                       $9,005,648,561,262.70.                         

And, the Republicans are the Party of fiscal responsibility?  Consider

In a flurry of business to close out the fiscal year, Congress raised the debt limit by $850 billion to $9.815 trillion. Without this move, the federal government's credit card would have maxed out on October 1 with an outstanding balance of $9 trillion. This staggering amount, also known as the national debt, is equal to $29,700 per American or $78,680 per household. Because the government must fund existing programs and make interest payments on existing debt, Congress had no choice but to raise the debt limit to prevent America's credit card from being cut in two.

Eventually, however, America will have to either pay its bills or raise the debt limit to catastrophic levels.

Bush will not only leave the Iraqi occupation for the next President to unravel; but will leave another legacy – a mountain of debt – and your children and grandchildren will be left holding the tab. 

                        TYPICAL BUSH 

Growing signs of global warming, a fact that Bush and the Republicans have devoted years to distort and deny.  As public opinion turns sharply against them, Bush seeks a photo op conversion to quell public attitudes.  .  

First, public attitudes are running against Bush on global warming.  A recent Associated Press-Stanford University poll conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs between September 21-23, 2007, documents the public’s disapproval:

 

 

 

 

 

 

.

 

"How would you rate the condition of the natural environment in the world today . . . ?"

 

 

 

 

 

.

 

 

 

Excellent

Good

Fair

Poor

Very Poor

 

 

%

%

%

%

%

 

9/21-23/07

3

18

35

34

8

 

 

 

 

 

.

 

"Compared to 10 or so years ago, do you think the natural environment in the world today is . . . ?"

 

 

 

 

 

.

 

 

 

Better

Worse

About the
Same

 

 

 

 

%

%

%

 

 

 

9/21-23/07

12

55

32

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

.

 

"Thinking ahead to 10 or so years from now, do you think the natural environment in the world will be . . . ?"

 

 

 

 

 

.

 

 

 

Better

Worse

About the
Same

Unsure

 

 

 

%

%

%

%

 

 

9/21-23/07

15

52

31

2

 

 

 

 

 

 

.

 

"Thinking about the way [see below] is/are handling issues involving the natural environment, do you . . . ?"

 

 

 

 

 

.

 

 

 

Approve

Disapprove

Neither Approve nor
Disapprove

Unsure

 

 

 

%

%

%

%

 

 

Bush

 

   9/21-23/07

20

52

26

2

 

 

 

 

 

 

.

 

 

 

 

 

 

.

 

"During the past year, how much did Bush’s policies do to HELP the natural environment?"

 

 

 

 

 

.

 

 

 

A Great Deal

A Lot

A Moderate
Amount

A Little

Nothing

 

 

%

%

%

%

%

 

9/21-23/07

3

4

17

37

35

 

 

 

 

 

.

 

"During the past year, how much did President Bush’s policies do to HARM the natural environment?"

 

 

 

 

 

.

 

 

 

A Great Deal

A Lot

A Moderate
Amount

A Little

Nothing

 

 

%

%

%

%

%

 

9/21-23/07

16

13

20

22

22

 

 

 

 

 

.

 

"You may have heard about the idea that the world's temperature may have been going up slowly over the past 100 years. What is your personal opinion on this? Do you think this has probably been happening, or do you think it probably hasn't been happening?"

 

 

 

 

 

.

 

 

 

Happening

Not
Happening

Unsure

 

 

 

 

%

%

%

 

 

 

9/21-23/07

84

14

2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

.

 

"If nothing is done to reduce global warming in the future, how serious of a problem do you think it will be for the world . . . ?"

 

 

 

 

 

.

 

 

 

Very
Serious

Somewhat
Serious

Not So
Serious

Not Serious
At All

Unsure

 

 

%

%

%

%

%

 

9/21-23/07

59

20

12

8

1

Bush counters with a conference proclaiming:

President Bush assured the rest of the world Friday that he takes climate change seriously and vowed that the United States "will do its part" in crafting "a new international approach" to reduce the greenhouse gases that are warming the planet. However, he proposed no initiatives to do so.

Addressing a Washington conference of major economic powers, Bush said "the moment is now" to find a broad consensus on how to confront the challenge of climate change. "I want to get the job done," he told hundreds of envoys, lobbyists and activists. "We have identified a problem; let's go solve it together." 

His much-anticipated address, though, was more a defense of his own record on the issue than a concrete road.  

America’s closest ally, Britain, panned Bush’s conversion: 

John Ashton, a special representative on climate change for the British foreign secretary, said: "One of the striking features of this meeting is how isolated this administration has become. There is absolutely no support that I can see in the international community that we can drive this effort on the basis of voluntary efforts."

The criticism was not limited to Britain: 

President George Bush was yesterday criticised by diplomats for attempting to derail a UN initiative on climate change by pressing ahead with his own conference, which starts in Washington today. 

One European diplomat described the US meeting as a spoiler for a UN conference planned for Bali in December. Another, who spoke to the Guardian on condition of anonymity, claimed that the US conference was merely a way of deflecting pressure from other world leaders who had asked at the G8 summit this year for the US to make concessions on global warming.. . .  

The British government shares the frustration of other European governments with the lack of urgency on the part of the Bush administration. The British assessment of Mr Bush's conference is reflected in the level of representation - Phil Woolas, a junior environment minister. 

Mr Bush invited 15 countries, plus all EU members.  

The highest-ranking representative from outside the US is the German environment minister, Sigmar Gabriel. He said yesterday he did not expect the US or other nations attending the conference to budge. "One cannot expect concrete results." 

One of those attending said the conference reflected "political hardball" on the part of the Bush administration, aimed at undermining the UN, for which it holds long-term suspicion. Another said the conference was aimed at domestic politics, with Mr Bush seeking headlines and television coverage implying that he was doing something about climate change while, in fact, doing almost nothing. 

There was criticism too from within the US. Philip Clapp, president of the National Environmental Trust, described the conference as "a sidelight, not a process that leads to anything". He accused the White House of seeking "an alternative to a binding treaty ... you're seeing the Bush administration make this up as they go along." . . .  

Connie Hedegard, the Danish environment minister, who is attending the conference, told members of Congress that she and other European leaders "are getting a bit impatient, not on our own behalf, but on behalf of the planet".

She added: "We need the support of the US. China, India and the other industrialising countries, they will not do anything unless the US is moving."

It is typical Bush and cynical Republican leadership.

NEXT - THEM DEMS

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Last Update: 10/05/2007