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Tumble Weed (Bush) Watch 

archived: 11 - 17 Nov, 2007         Back                 Next

UPDATED:  NOV 14, 2007

                        DANGER, DANGER 

Republican economic policy is reaping havoc on the pocket books of hard working Americans.  Gasoline prices at the pump will continue their assault on new highs: 

U.S. consumers could pay record gasoline prices for the upcoming Thanksgiving holiday with pump costs expected to climb another 20 cents over the next two to three weeks, the government's top energy forecaster warned on Monday.

Guy Caruso, who heads the U.S. Energy Information Administration, said not all of the recent jump in crude oil prices has been reflected in motor fuel costs which now top $3 a gallon in many parts of the country, about 80 cents more than a year ago.

"We haven't seen the full pass-through (of high oil prices) yet," Caruso told reporters at a briefing on oil market conditions held at Energy Department headquarters. "I would say what's in the pipe right now (for gasoline) is about another 20 cents."

If the projected gasoline price materializes it would be the most consumers have ever paid to fill up at Thanksgiving and could break the all-time high of $3.22 a gallon set last May.

The national average retail pump price has already jumped by 25 cents since mid-October, reflecting soaring crude oil costs, which for U.S. oil hit a record $98.62 a barrel last week.

Bush finally tells Americans what Republican policy is, the free market sets the value of the US Dollar: 

US President George W. Bush predicted in an interview Tuesday that the battered US dollar will get stronger because the US economy is robust.

"If people would look at the strength of our economy, they'd realize why, you know, I believe that the dollar will be stronger," Bush told the fledgling Fox Business Network.  

"We have a strong dollar policy, and it's important for the world to know that. We also believe it's important for the market to set the value of the dollar relative to other currencies," the president said.  

Bush cited low US inflation figures, modest interest rates, job growth, and gross domestic product growth and declared "the underpinnings are strong."  

Asked whether he was satisfied with current exchange rates, Bush replied: "I am satisfied with the fact that we have a strong dollar policy and know that the market ought to be setting the exchange rate."

Simply translated this means that Bush is going to let the value of the US Dollar be set by the markets; there will be no intervention to stop the fall of the US Dollar, which has decreased some 34% since Bush took office.  Bush’s “strong dollar policy” amounts to nothing more than his opinion that the US economy is stronger than the currency markets believe that it is.  Of course, that has been his belief even as the markets have cut the value of the US Dollar year after year.  

Americans are literally paying the price of Republican policy, a  price that is going to continue to go up.  As one economist states

Rising fuel prices that businesses and consumers took in stride earlier this year may now be near the point of pushing the weakened U.S. economy into recession.  

``We are in a danger zone,'' says Nariman Behravesh, chief economist at Global Insight Inc. and a former Federal Reserve economist. ``It would take two shocks to bring the economy to its knees. We got one shock in the form of the credit crunch. Oil could be that second shock.''

Bush’s response is simply mystifying

While speaking to a group of White House reporters, President Bush fended off questions about the weak state of the dollar, the expected long-term deficit caused by Social Security and Medicare payments, and a faltering housing market by assuring reporters that the U.S. economy's ability to have such a widespread negative impact on the world only further proves it is "easily the best."  

"Our recent credit crisis alone has been enough to depress share prices in Japan, Rome, China, and Brazil," a smirking Bush said during a press conference Thursday.  

"Sounds to me like our economy is still pretty powerful." Bush later added that he was equally proud of the impact U.S. foreign policy has had over the past six years, adding that only a truly great president could be capable of fostering so much hatred across the globe

                        BUSH LEGACY  

Eugene Robinson, Washington Post, reviewing Gallup’s latest polls showing that over 50% of Americans strongly disapprove of Bush’s performance in  office, succinctly and accurately evaluates Bush’s “legacy:”  

A new Gallup Poll released last week showed that 64 percent of Americans disapprove of how the Decider is doing his job. That sounds bad enough – nearly two-thirds of the country thinks its leader is incompetent. But when you look more closely at the numbers, you see that Bush’s abysmal report card – only 31 percent of respondents approve of the job he’s doing – actually overstates our regard for his performance. 

According to Gallup, if you lump together the Americans who “strongly” approve of Bush as president with those who only “moderately” feel one way or the other about him, you end up with about half the population. That leaves a full 50 percent who “strongly disapprove” of Bush – as high a level of intense repudiation as Gallup has ever seen in its decades of polling. . . .  

Bush didn’t come by this distinction with help from family connections or the Supreme Court. No, he earned it. 

Look at the situation Bush’s successor will inherit. Throughout much of the world, the United States is seen as an arrogant bully whose rhetoric about freedom and the rule of law is disgracefully empty. The lawyers and students who are being tear-gassed in the streets of Pakistan’s cities will long remember that when push came to shove, Bush chose to stick with a cooperative dictator, Gen. Pervez Musharraf, rather than live up to his words about the universal value of democracy. 

The next president will be left with more than 100,000 U.S. troops still bogged down in Iraq, with an unfinished war in Afghanistan – and, between those two crises, a strengthened and emboldened Iran that hopes to dominate the world’s most dangerous region. Nice work. 

Bush’s successor will, incredibly, assume control of a United States government that interrogates terrorist suspects with “enhanced” techniques known throughout the world by a much simpler term: torture. The new commander in chief will almost surely take custody of hundreds of people detained without formal charges, on questionable evidence, and held for years in secret CIA prisons or at Guantanamo. The next president will take over a government that claims the right to eavesdrop on U.S. citizens without meaningful judicial oversight. 

Whoever takes office in January 2009 will be left with a more polarized economy – an America where the rich have been made richer during the last six years with generous tax cuts, while 40 million people struggle without health insurance.  

The new president will be left with a government that not only failed miserably in its response to the most extensive natural disaster the nation has ever faced, but also reneged on Bush’s pledge to rebuild a better New Orleans – and make it possible for all those who lived in the city to return. 

The next occupant of the White House will find the nation’s coffers depleted by Bush’s wars – the price tag doubtless will have reached $1 trillion by Inauguration Day – and by whatever it eventually costs to keep the housing market afloat. 

He or she will inherit, in short, a dismal mess. It will take most of the new president’s first term to begin to set things right. 

It’s easy to understand why Americans have come to think of George W. Bush as the worst president in memory, perhaps one of the worst ever. What’s hard to fathom is how we’ll make it through the next 141/2 months. But who’s counting.

_____________________________________________

UPDATED:  NOV 11, 2007

                         BUSH’S DOLLAR 

The US dollar continues another week of reaching new lows against most major currencies in the world. By Friday of this past week Wall Street was feeling the pain as stock prices plunged. 

This summary by Houston Chronicle business columnist Loren Steffy summarizes the impact of Bush's de facto policy of a weak US dollar:

Our good ol' greenback isn't the robust currency it once was, and as its value falls in the world market, the number of dollar defectors is rising.

On Monday, reports surfaced that Gisele Bundchen, the Brazilian-born supermodel, was insisting she be paid in almost any currency except U.S. dollars. Gisele and I aren't the only ones who doubt the dollar. Warren Buffett and Bill Gates do, too. Great minds, and all that.

A litany of financial folly is catching up with our currency, combined with the administration's de facto weak dollar policy.

The dollar has lost 34 percent of its value since 2001, and currency forecasters predict the decline will continue because of global concern that last month's interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and softening home sales point to larger economic woes for the U.S.

Just this week, the dollar fell to record lows in world currency markets as writedowns for bad debts mounted at big financial institutions such as Citigroup and Merrill Lynch.

The big fear, though, isn't that business columnists and supermodels will turn their back on the dollar, it's that dollar-holding countries will.

China, for example, has amassed much of its reserves in dollars, and it now sees those cash piles losing value.

Political murmuring from China calling for the government to buy more euros and fewer dollars sparked global concern, adding to the dollar's decline this week.

Facing trade sanctions over what many economists contend is the manipulation of its currency, the yuan, China has threatened to dump massive amounts of dollars on the world market, a move that could send the greenback into a free fall.

Steffy is simply warning that China now holds the fate of the US economy within its grasp.  If China starts "dumping" US dollars, America's economy will plummet.  The underlying assumption of the Bush administration is that China would never "dump" its holdings in US dollars as the destruction US economy is not in the economic interests of China, who depends heavily on the United States for trade.  However, as the value of the US dollar declines in value the vast amount of US dollars that China holds is already declining in value. Two questions await the future; a) what happens to the United States’ economy if China simply stops accumulating US dollars; i.e. the banker quits making loans to a borrower who has to borrow money to stay afloat, and b) will the Chinese government actually initiate a selloff of US dollars. 

It seems ironic that Bush, who is touting his "war on terror" as necessary to defend the national interests of the United States, has been the steward of an economic policy that gives China such control over America’s economic future.   

Every American is paying the price for Bush's policy.  Gasoline at the pump has arisen above $3.00 a gallon –  again.  The chart below documents the retail cost of gasoline over just the last three weeks.  As the US dollar continues its fall in value, the price of gasoline will, over time, continue to rise even further. 

 

 

 

 

10/22/2007

10/29/2007

11/5/2007

Change over week ago

Change over year ago

 

 

 

 

 

 


 

 

U.S.

2.823

2.872

3.013

0.141

0.813

 

             

The harsh reality is that each one cent rise in the cost of gasoline takes $1 billion out of the pockets of hard-working American families.  In just the past week, Americans lost over $14 billion dollars; and over the past year, over $80 billion dollars.  It does not stop with gasoline prices.  It is, in effect, a consumption tax on all goods that the United States imports.  It is a tax you are paying for Republican economic policy while that policy undermines America’s economic security.

Joseph E. Stiglitz, a Nobel laureate, documents the scope of the failure of Republican economic policy: 

When we look back someday at the catastrophe that was the Bush administration, we will think of many things: the tragedy of the Iraq war, the shame of Guantánamo and Abu Ghraib, the erosion of civil liberties. The damage done to the American economy does not make front-page headlines every day, but the repercussions will be felt beyond the lifetime of anyone reading this page.

I can hear an irritated counterthrust already. The president has not driven the United States into a recession during his almost seven years in office. Unemployment stands at a respectable 4.6 percent. Well, fine. But the other side of the ledger groans with distress: a tax code that has become hideously biased in favor of the rich; a national debt that will probably have grown 70 percent by the time this president leaves Washington; a swelling cascade of mortgage defaults; a record near-$850 billion trade deficit; oil prices that are higher than they have ever been; and a dollar so weak that for an American to buy a cup of coffee in London or Paris—or even the Yukon—becomes a venture in high finance.

And it gets worse. After almost seven years of this president, the United States is less prepared than ever to face the future. We have not been educating enough engineers and scientists, people with the skills we will need to compete with China and India. We have not been investing in the kinds of basic research that made us the technological powerhouse of the late 20th century. And although the president now understands—or so he says—that we must begin to wean ourselves from oil and coal, we have on his watch become more deeply dependent on both.

Up to now, the conventional wisdom has been that Herbert Hoover, whose policies aggravated the Great Depression, is the odds-on claimant for the mantle “worst president” when it comes to stewardship of the American economy. Once Franklin Roosevelt assumed office and reversed Hoover’s policies, the country began to recover. The economic effects of Bush’s presidency are more insidious than those of Hoover, harder to reverse, and likely to be longer-lasting. There is no threat of America’s being displaced from its position as the world’s richest economy. But our grandchildren will still be living with, and struggling with, the economic consequences of Mr. Bush.

Question for Americans: Had Enough of Republican policy?

                        BUSH SLAP

This past week has not been one of Bush's best.  First, French President Sarkozy, Bush's newest ally, is invited to the United States by Bush to showcase his friendship.  In addressing Congress, Sarkozy lambasts Bush's policy of a weak US dollar.  He warned Congress that if the US dollar continues to decline in value that it would trigger a trade war with Europe.

Second, Congress overrides a Bush veto for the first time:

Congress delivered yesterday its first override of a veto by President Bush, giving final approval to a $23 billion bill that authorizes water projects sought by lawmakers of both parties.

The Senate voted overwhelmingly to override the veto, with a majority of Republicans and Democrats rejecting Bush's assertion that the bill is fiscally irresponsible. The House voted to override the veto earlier this week.

The override vote is likely to intensify the battle between the White House and the Democratic-controlled Congress over the federal budget.

Now, Bush's own church is calling for an immediate withdrawal of all troops from Iraq:

President Bush’s church, long at odds with him on matters of public policy, called on the United States and its partners today to begin withdrawing troops from Iraq immediately.

The Bishops of the United Methodist Church approved a resolution calling on Bush, Congress and leaders of the other coalition partners to begin the “immediate safe and full withdrawal” of all troops, declare that there will be no permanent military bases in Iraq, increase support for veterans of all wars and initiate a reconstruction plan to address the humanitarian, social and educational needs of the Iraqi people.

The 125 current and retired bishops now meeting in the Great Smoky Mountains in North Carolina represent more than 11 million Methodists worldwide – including the current occupant of the White House, a member of Highland Park United Methodist Church in Dallas.

Bush’s policy failures are simply overtaking his administration.

                        AT STAKE

Daniel Ellsberg, the former Defense Department official who leaked the infamous Pentagon Papers during the Vietnam War, writes eloquently about the incessant assault against the American Constitution by Bush and the Republican Party:

Let me simplify . . . and not just to be rhetorical: A coup has occurred. I woke up the other day realizing, coming out of sleep, that a coup has occurred. It’s not just a question that a coup lies ahead with the next 9-11. That’s the next coup that completes the first.

The last five years have seen a steady assault on every fundamental of our Constitution . . . what the rest of the world looked at for the last 200 years as a model and experiment to the rest of the world—in checks and balances, limited government, Bill of Rights, individual rights protected from majority infringement by the Congress, an independent judiciary, the possibility of impeachment. . . .

It is increasingly clear with each new book and each new leak that comes out, that Richard Cheney and his now chief of staff David Addington have had precisely that in mind since at least the early 1970s. Not just since 1992, not since 2001, but [they] have believed in executive government, single-branch government under an executive president—elected or not—with unrestrained powers. They did not believe in restraint.

When I say this, I’m not saying they are traitors. I don’t think they have in mind allegiance to some foreign power or have a desire to help a foreign power. I believe they have in their own minds a love of this country and what they think is best for this country—but what they think is best is directly and consciously at odds with what the Founders of this country [and the Framers of the Constitution] thought.

They believe we need a different kind of government now, an executive government essentially, rule by decree, which is what we’re getting with ‘signing statements.’

Signing statements are talked about as line-item vetoes which is one [way] of describing them which are unconstitutional in themselves, but in other ways are just saying the president says: ‘I decide what I enforce. I decide what the law is. I legislate.’

It’s [the same] with the military commissions, courts that are under the entire control of the executive branch, essentially of the president—a concentration of legislative, judicial, and executive powers in one branch, which is precisely what the founders meant to avert, and tried to avert and did avert to the best of their ability in the Constitution.”

Now I’m appealing to that as a crisis right now not just because it is a break in tradition but because I believe in my heart and from my experience that on this point the Founders had it right. It’s not just ‘our way of doing things’— it was a crucial perception on the corruption of power to anybody, including Americans.

The preservation of the constitutional democracy in the United States is at stake in the outcome of the 2008 elections.

Are Democrats getting ready for the fight?

NEXT - THEM DEMS

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Last Update: 11/18/2007