UPDATED: JUL 29, 2007
Republicans continue to employ the filibuster in the US Senate to prevent consideration of legislation vital to America. The single most important issue is Bush’s occupation of Iraq.
At TPJ, we defend the filibuster as a legislative tactic. Democrats, however, have the right to make the case to the American public that Republicans are subverting the will of the majority of Americans who want an end to this Republican policy fiasco. In regard to Bush’s occupation, there is no question that Republican use of filibuster is subverting the majority will. The CBS/New York Times’ most recent poll clearly documents that Americans overwhelmingly disapprove of Bush’s conduct of the occupation:
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"Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the situation with Iraq?" |
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Approve |
Disapprove |
Unsure |
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% |
% |
% |
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ALL adults |
25 |
69 |
6 |
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Republicans |
57 |
38 |
5 |
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Democrats |
5 |
93 |
2 |
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Independents |
24 |
70 |
6 |
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The CBS/New York Times poll also clearly demonstrates that Americans want US troop out of the civil war in Iraq. Some 66% of Americans want a decrease of troop levels or all troops removed while only 27% of Americans want to either maintain or increase troop levels.
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"From what you have seen or heard about the situation in Iraq, what should the United States do now? Should the U.S. increase the number of U.S. troops in Iraq, keep the same number of U.S. troops in Iraq as there are now, decrease the number of U.S. troops in Iraq, or remove all its troops from Iraq?" |
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Increase |
Same |
Decrease |
Remove All |
Unsure |
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% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
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7/20-22/07 |
12 |
15 |
30 |
36 |
7 |
Republicans do not want a vote in Congress for very obvious reasons.
How do Democrats fight back against the Republican filibuster? The most effective strategy is simply to take its case to the American public. And, that is what Democrats are starting to do in key Republican districts.
Americans United For Change (“AUFC”) is running advertisements focusing on Republicans who continue to support Bush’s occupation. For example, in Minnesota, AUFC is sponsoring this ad educating citizens that Sen. Coleman continues to support Bush’s occupation. It is a wonderful ad:
Ads will start playing in a number of States starting in August:
The Democratic-allied group Americans United for Change plans to air more ads in several states next month, when lawmakers are home. "They think it's hot in Washington. Wait until they get home. It's going to be like laying asphalt in August. They're going to feel it," said spokesman Brad Woodhouse.
AUFC has exactly the right strategy. With Republicans filibustering in Congress, Democrats simply have to make their strategy so unpalatable that sufficient Republican Senators will either abandon Bush’s failed policies in Iraq or suffer political defeat in their home states. When Republican Senators are faced with that prospect, Bush’s occupation will end.
BUSH
July polling numbers continue to demonstrate that some 64% of Americans disapprove of Bush’s performance as President. Absent some extraordinary developments, Bush will finish his administration as one of the most unpopular Presidents in modern American history.
Bush’s approval rating has declined fractionally in July. In TPJ’s estimation, Bush’s approval rating has stabilized since immigration legislation has been defeated in Congress. Bush’s very unpopular stance on immigration within the Republican Party is no longer at issue and what is left of Bush’s Republican base continues to provide his primary support. Rasmussen notes Bush’s improvement since the defeat of immigration legislation:
The President has been doing better among Republicans lately. Seventy-seven percent (77%) of the GOP faithful offer their approval. That’s up twelve points from the lows reached during the debate over immigration.
Globally, Bush’s descent since 2005 is akin to peeling the layers of an onion. The outer layers (Democrats and some Independents) peel easily, while at the core (Republican base support) the layers are smaller, packed more compactly and are more difficult to remove. But, looking at the numbers, the layers are still coming off.
The simple message for Democrats is to keep making the case against Bush’s policies every day.
TPJ'S BUSH WATCH |
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Approve |
Trail Mo |
Disapprove |
No Opinion |
Spread |
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2007 |
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CBS/New York Times |
7/20-22/07 |
30 |
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62 |
8 |
-32 |
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Diageo/Hotline RV |
7/19-22/07 |
33 |
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63 |
4 |
-30 |
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ABC/Washington Post |
7/18-21/07 |
33 |
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65 |
2 |
-32 |
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FOX/Opinion Dynamics RV |
7/17-18/07 |
32 |
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61 |
7 |
-29 |
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CBS/New York Times |
7/9-17/07 |
29 |
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64 |
7 |
-35 |
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Gallup |
7/12-15/07 |
31 |
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63 |
6 |
-32 |
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Newsweek |
7/11-12/07 |
29 |
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64 |
7 |
-35 |
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AP-Ipsos |
7/9-11/07 |
33 |
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65 |
2 |
-32 |
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USA Today/Gallup |
7/6-8/07 |
29 |
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66 |
5 |
-37 |
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Newsweek |
7/2-3/07 |
26 |
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65 |
9 |
-39 |
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July Avg |
30.50 |
-0.35 |
63.80 |
5.70 |
-33.30 |
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June Avg |
30.85 |
-2.38 |
63.23 |
6.00 |
-32.38 |
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May Avg |
33.22 |
-1.70 |
61.33 |
5.56 |
-28.11 |
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April Avg |
34.92 |
1.49 |
59.92 |
5.15 |
-25.00 |
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March Avg |
33.43 |
-0.24 |
60.43 |
6.14 |
-27.00 |
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February Avg |
33.67 |
-0.22 |
60.17 |
6.08 |
-26.50 |
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January Avg |
33.89 |
-1.61 |
61.61 |
4.83 |
-27.72 |
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2006 |
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December Avg |
35.50 |
-0.93 |
59.25 |
5.42 |
-23.75 |
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November Avg |
36.43 |
-1.07 |
58.00 |
5.50 |
-21.57 |
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October Avg |
37.50 |
-3.42 |
57.11 |
5.36 |
-19.61 |
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September Avg |
40.92 |
2.64 |
54.23 |
4.77 |
-13.31 |
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August Avg |
38.29 |
0.59 |
57.14 |
4.64 |
-18.86 |
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July Avg |
37.70 |
0.49 |
56.40 |
5.90 |
-18.70 |
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June Avg |
37.21 |
3.05 |
56.79 |
5.93 |
-19.57 |
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May Avg |
34.17 |
-1.58 |
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