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UPDATED: January 4, 2005
WHICH WAY?
The intra Party debate over the future of the Democratic Party is gaining momentum.
Ed Kilgore at New Donkey Rising published a four part series outlining the lessons learned from the 2004 election. His salient and compelling conclusions:
On the plus side, we learned we could get through a tough general
election battle, after a fractious nominating process, with extraordinary
unity.
We learned it was possible to use technology to create a whole new,
decentralized, small-dollar donor base, reducing an advantage the GOP has
had in small-dollar funding for a generation, and enormously increasing the
overall amount of money available to our candidates. . . .
We learned Democrats could at least begin to compete in the "new media"
sources of political commentary and advocacy previously dominated by
conservatives, ranging from radio to cable TV to the Internet and its
boisterous spawn, the blogosphere.
And we learned that Democrats could win younger voters. Although there were
not enough of them to make a big difference this year, Democratic strength
in the younger cohorts of Americans is a good and important sign for the
future.
On the minus side, we learned that self-identified Democrats no longer
outnumber Republicans for the first time since the New Deal.
We learned that a lot of the negative perceptions of the Democratic Party
that we thought had gone away during the Clinton administration were simply
dormant.
We learned that all the excitement, enthusiasm, and money generated by the
Dean/MoveOn/Blog phenomena of 2003 are not necessarily transferable into
votes.
We learned that we could use a new generation of pollsters and campaign
consultants.
And we learned that Republicans have now gained a geographical advantage in
the country that undoubtedly gives them an edge in control of state
governments, of the U.S. Senate, and (indirectly, through redistricting) of
the U.S. House, and a strategic advantage in presidential campaigns as well.
. . .
While most Democrats agree that we should now become (in Washington, at
least) a loud-and-proud opposition party, there is less consensus about the
positive message Democrats should stand for. And some of us, especially at
the DLC, are worried about (a) the tiny investment we are making as a party
on new policy ideas--we're basically all living off the policy thinking of
the Clinton administration; and (b) the relative lack of interest in the
current intra-party debate about Democratic state and local elected
officials, who deserve at least as much attention as grass-roots activists
and Washington consultants in plotting the course forward. –
New Donkey
Good lessons. Kilgore’s four part series is well worth reading in its entirety.
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ONLY THE GRASSROOTS CAN SAVE THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY
Joe Trippi, Howard Dean’s campaign manager, wrote the following article for the Wall Street Journal. – Joe Trippi Trippi’s observations, conclusions and recommendations deserve serious consideration and discussion. Therefore, it is the only article appearing in THEM DEMS today.
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The staggering defeat of the Democratic Party, and its ever-accelerating death spiral weren't obvious from the election results. Two factors masked the extent of the party's trouble. Without the innovation of Internet-driven small-donor fund-raising and a corresponding surge in support from the nation's youngest voters, John Kerry would have suffered a dramatically larger electoral defeat. And the true magnitude of the Democrats abject failure at the polls in 2004 would have been more clearly revealed.
Mr. Kerry raised nearly half of his campaign war chest over the Internet. He was so successful at online fund-raising that he actually outspent the Bush campaign in this election. But it was the outsider campaign of Howard Dean, reviled by most of the Democratic establishment, which pioneered the use of the Internet to raise millions in small contributions; Mr. Kerry was just the beneficiary as the party nominee.
And it was the risk-taking and aggressive Dean Campaign that forced the risk-averse Kerry campaign to opt out of the public financing system. Had that decision not been forced on Mr. Kerry, he would have been badly outspent by George Bush; he would not have been competitive at all throughout the long summer of 2004.
Mr. Kerry's lead among young voters hid just how bad Election Day really was for Democrats. In the 2000 election, voters between the ages of 18 and 29 split their votes evenly; nine million each for Mr. Bush and Al Gore. But in 2004, two million more voters in this age group turned out to vote. And while Mr. Bush won the same nine million votes, 11 million voted for Mr.Kerry. But when we set aside his two million new younger voters, the true disaster of 2004 is revealed. In 2000, Mr. Gore and Ralph Nader won a combined total of 54 million votes. This year Mr. Kerry and Mr. Nader got 53 million (ignoring the two million new young voters).
It turns out that Mr. Kerry was a weaker candidate than Mr. Gore. Mr. Kerry lost so much ground among women, Hispanics, and other key groups, that the millions in Internet money, the most Herculean get-out-the-vote effort in party history, and the largest turnout of young voters in over a decade, could not save him. Had the young voters stayed home, the sea of red on the electoral map would have grown to include at least Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and New Hampshire-perhaps one or two more.
Meanwhile, Mr. Bush, received 50 million votes in 2000, and 59 million in 2004. He added nine million votes. That is because Karl Rove had a plan and the Bush campaign stuck to it. There is no doubt that they executed it brilliantly. But the problem for Democrats is not Mr. Rove; it is that they're doing the same thing over and over again, expecting a different result. That's the definition of insanity.
Since the Democratic Leadership Council, with its mantra of "moderate, moderate, moderate," took hold in Washington, the Democratic Party has been in decline at just about every level of government. Forget the Kerry loss. Today the number of Democrats in the House is the lowest it's been since 1928. Democrats are on the brink of becoming a permanent minority party. Can the oldest democratic institution on earth wake from its stupor? Here are some steps to pull out of the nose-dive:
* Democrats can't keep ignoring their base. Running to the middle and then asking our base at the end of the campaign to make sure to vote is not a plan. It sure hasn't worked. And to those who say talking to your base doesn't work-Read the Rove 2004 playbook!
* Democrats must reconnect with the energy of our grass roots. One of the failures of the DLC was that its ideas never helped us build a grass-roots donor base. As a result Democrats held a lead over Republicans in only one fundraising category before this election cycle: contributions over one million dollars. That shows how far the party had strayed from grassroots fundraising before the Dean campaign. We must build a base of at least seven million small donors by 2006. With the Internet it's possible. But it can't just be about the money, it also has to be about ideas.
* The one thing we learned in the Dean campaign was that the 30 or so people in Burlington, Vt., were not as smart as the 650,000 Americans who were part of our campaign. Instead of a DLC in Washington, Democrats should be holding Democratic Grassroots Councils in every county. Democratic National Committee members in each state, along with the state party, should host and moderate these meetings to help develop ideas that come from the people, instead of the experts in Washington.
* A party that ignores the needs of state and local parties is doomed. We must begin to invest aggressively in states we continually write off in national elections. If we don't, the decline of the Democratic Party in these states will continue until we are non-existent. It's already occurring in many southern states.
* In a world in which companies like Wal-Mart pay substandard wages with no real benefits, our party has got to find innovative ways to support organized labor's growth. A declining union membership is not good for the country, it's not good for working people, and it certainly is not good for the Democratic Party.
* The Democratic Party has to be the vehicle that empowers the American people to change our failed political system. We all know the damn thing is broken. Democrats should lead the way by placing stricter money restrictions on candidates than the toothless Federal Election Commission does. A party funded by contributions from the people can do this. A corrupted and corroded party cannot. The Democratic Party shouldn't wait for campaign-finance reform-it should be campaign-finance reform.
* Finally, What is the purpose the Democratic Party strives for today? What are our goals for the nation? You couldn't tell from the 2004 election. The fact is, very few good ideas come from the middle. Ideas in the middle tend to be mediocre. Political consultants have become adept at keeping their candidates in that safe zone. But the time has come to develop bold ideas and to challenge people to sacrifice for the common good. Experts will tell you that you can't ask the American people to sacrifice individually for the common good. Those experts are wrong-it's just been so long since anyone has asked them.
Last Update: 03/23/2006