archived: 14 - 20 Aug, 2005         Back                 Next

                        TUMBLE WEED 

Bush’s poll numbers continue to suffer.  Bush’s “approval” rating is obviously meaningless as to his political future as he is term limited.  Bush’s approval ratings are critical in the upcoming Congressional elections, where critical voting segments may vote Democratic based upon their perception of the Republicans as led by Bush. 

Survey USA has provided a state by state breakdown of Bush’s approval ratings in May and June 2005.  The results are encouraging for Democrats. The full charts can be found here: -- Survey USA  (Special Note:  Survey USA provided hyperlinks to the poll for each state; simply click on the state name to see the poll for that state.) 

These are the highlights: 

First, Bush’s approval rating is at or above 50% in only twelve states.  They obviously represent the Republican strongholds.  They are:

 

05/05

06/05

Change

State

'04 ECV

Approve

Disapprove

Approve

Disapprove

Approve

Disapprove

Utah

Bush

60%

34%

63%

34%

+3%

+0%

Nebraska

Bush

58%

37%

60%

37%

+2%

+0%

Wyoming

Bush

58%

36%

58%

38%

+0%

+2%

Idaho

Bush

56%

40%

56%

39%

+0%

-1%

Montana

Bush

51%

43%

56%

42%

+5%

-1%

Alabama

Bush

50%

44%

54%

41%

+4%

-3%

Alaska

Bush

50%

44%

53%

43%

+3%

-1%

North Dakota

Bush

52%

42%

52%

43%

+0%

+1%

Kansas

Bush

49%

45%

51%

45%

+2%

+0%

Kentucky

Bush

49%

47%

50%

45%

+1%

-2%

Mississippi

Bush

50%

46%

50%

46%

+0%

+0%

Texas

Bush

52%

43%

50%

47%

-2%

+4%

Bush’s disapproval rating is at or above 50% in twenty-seven states.  They are:

Vermont

Kerry

32%

64%

32%

65%

+0%

+1%

Rhode Island

Kerry

34%

61%

33%

63%

-1%

+2%

New York

Kerry

35%

60%

33%

62%

-2%

+2%

Michigan

Kerry

38%

56%

38%

59%

+0%

+3%

Massachusetts

Kerry

35%

61%

39%

58%

+4%

-3%

New Jersey

Kerry

37%

59%

38%

58%

+1%

-1%

California

Kerry

39%

54%

37%

58%

-2%

+4%

Connecticut

Kerry

40%

54%

37%

58%

-3%

+4%

Illinois

Kerry

39%

56%

37%

58%

-2%

+2%

Maryland

Kerry

38%

57%

41%

57%

+3%

+0%

Washington

Kerry

42%

52%

41%

57%

-1%

+5%

Ohio

Bush

38%

58%

40%

57%

+2%

-1%

Wisconsin

Kerry

42%

54%

40%

57%

-2%

+3%

Maine

Kerry

40%

56%

39%

57%

-1%

+1%

Delaware

Kerry

39%

57%

38%

57%

-1%

+0%

Nevada

Bush

39%

56%

38%

57%

-1%

+1%

Minnesota

Kerry

47%

49%

43%

54%

-4%

+5%

Oregon

Kerry

42%

55%

43%

54%

+1%

-1%

N. Hampshire

Kerry

44%

53%

43%

53%

-1%

+0%

Pennsylvania

Kerry

41%

54%

42%